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Quarterly Report Q4

Rethinking Commodities

Aerial view of a gravel pit. The extraction of raw materials continues to be an important topic for investors. ENVATO.

/ Pablo Gonzalez, Senior Portfolio Manager Commodities

Commodities held their ground through a volatile quarter — energy stabilized, metals strengthened, and agriculture showed mixed trends. This Insight highlights the key cross-sector forces shaping the market, while our full Quarterly Report offers a deeper analysis of Energy, Metals, and Agriculture — complete with data, charts, and strategic outlooks.


Commodities Quarterly Report Q4

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Quarterly Report Q4

Rethinking Commodities


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3-minute update: Why these forces shape all segments—the Report provides the deep dive.

Spotlights


Gold – From Hedge to Core Asset

Persistent central-bank accumulation and renewed institutional inflows are redefining gold’s role in portfolios — moving it from a defensive hedge toward a strategic reserve asset.



Copper – Electrification Meets Scarcity

Global electrification and grid expansion continue to lift demand just as mine disruptions and underinvestment constrain supply – a textbook setup for tightening balances.



Energy – Addition, Not Replacement

The energy transition is additive, not substitutive. Rising global power demand ensures that fossil fuels remain part of the mix, even as renewables and nuclear expand.

The three forces

  • Electrification & AI – The New Demand Engine
    Data centers, EVs, and industrial electrification are transforming energy use – driving a structural increase in power and materials demand.
  • Metal Intensity of Renewables – The Hidden Constraint
    Wind and solar require five to fifteen times more metals per megawatt than gas, placing copper, aluminium, rare earths, nickel, and zinc at the center of the transition.
  • Supply Discipline & Underinvestment – Seeds of a Supercycle
    A decade of low capex, regulatory friction, and long project lead times have left supply inflexible – setting the stage for persistent tightness and potential price upside.

Your contacts

Daniel Gerber

Head of Market Switzerland & Chief Sustainability Officer

Daniel Gerber

Head of Market Switzerland & Chief Sustainability Officer

Daniel Gerber has been Head of Business Development since the beginning of 2021 and is responsible for the expansion and further development of investment and customer solutions with a focus on sustainability, data science and securitization. As of 2022, he will take over the management of our ESG Competence Centre as Chief Sustainability Officer. He has over 15 years of experience in the financial industry. He held senior positions at major Swiss banks and fund companies. He holds a Bachelor in Business Administration from HWV Bern and a Master in Banking & Finance from FHNW.

Pablo Gonzalez

Senior Portfolio Manager Commodities

Pablo Gonzalez

Senior Portfolio Manager Commodities

Pablo Gonzalez joined Picard Angst in June 2025 as Senior Portfolio Manager, overseeing the development and management of commodity and equity strategies, including the Industrial Metals Champions Fund, the Precious Metals Champions Fund, and various thematic certificates. A CFA Charterholder, he brings extensive experience in portfolio management, research, and advising institutional and private clients. Before joining Picard Angst, he spent over a decade at Independent Capital Group, having started his career at UBS in 2003, followed by a role at Gateway Capital Group.

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