Energy Transition – A Catalyst for Commodity Investments
The energy transition is triggering an unprecedented surge in demand for raw materials. Discover how systematic commodity strategies can capture the opportunities created by this fundamental transformation. Leverage our expertise now, the timing is compelling.
Lunch-Event
12.00 pm / Widder Hotel, Rennweg 7, 8001 Zurich
Commodities in the Supercycle – Energy, Metals & Agriculture
Despite all progress, our modern society remains bound to material realities: energy dependence and finite resources shape global change. The energy transition is driving rising demand for metals, while supply bottlenecks and investment deficits mark the beginning of a new commodity supercycle. At the same time, commodity investments offer diversification, inflation protection, and attractive return opportunities. At our investor lunch, the Picard Angst Commodities Competence Center will show how institutional investors can benefit from the global resource transformation – with 360° expertise from research and advisory to tailored solutions.

Pablo Gonzalez
Senior Portfolio Manager Commodities
Insights
Where the Investment Opportunities Lie
The global energy transition is reshaping commodity markets and energy infrastructure at unparalleled speed. Ambitious climate targets create new bottlenecks, capital requirements and regulatory frameworks.
Picard Angst pinpoints the megatrend’s key opportunities, from electrification and evolving energy systems to the growing importance of alternative fuels and presents concrete investment solutions for institutional investors.

Electrification Creates Supply Deficits
Shifts in the energy mix are driving up demand for critical metals such as copper, nickel, lithium and cobalt—vital for wind and solar power generation as well as energy storage.
A typical electric vehicle contains up to six times more copper than a conventional car. Photovoltaic and wind installations also require up to twelve times more metal per kilowatt‑hour generated than fossil‑fuel power plants. At the same time, new mining projects take an average of seven to ten years to begin production, a critical delay given the accelerating demand.

Fossil‑Fuel Scarcity—Despite Falling Demand
While decarbonization gradually shifts the energy mix toward renewables, fossil fuels will remain essential for years. From 2030 onward, existing oil fields will no longer meet demand, new production will be needed.
Global oil‑industry investment in exploration and infrastructure has fallen for years. Political volatility in producing regions is rising. Emerging‑market energy demand continues to grow. Together, this blend of structural decline and geopolitical risk makes fossil energy a tactical investment factor.
Looming Shortages
Decline in output from existing oil fields; fossil fuels still dominate the global mix.

Source: Bloomberg LP

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Existing production
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New production needed
In Brief
- 40% of crude supply comes from politically unstable regions
- OPEC controls ~40% of global oil production
- Crisis‑driven price swings of ±5–10%

Demand for Biofuels to Double
Meeting climate goals will more than double global biofuel demand by 2030. These fuels—primarily based on sugar, corn and grains—are increasingly regulated.
Directive RED II in the EU and the U.S. Renewable Fuel Standard mandate sustainable biofuels. Minimum quotas secure long‑term demand and provide institutional investors with stable market conditions and planning certainty.
In Brief
- EU RED II: 14% biofuel share mandatory by 2030
- U.S. RFS: annual minimum quotas since 2007
- 50+ countries worldwide with biofuel mandates
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